27 September 2023
An annotated conversation with Pi
There’s a new LLM on the block. Pi, which stands for Personal Intelligence, has been developed by Inflection AI. This is a company that has raised $1.5 Billion since being founded in 2022 by Mustafa Suleyman, Reid Hoffman and Karén Simonyan. It’s fair to say they’ll be a big part of the conversation on AI going forward. And at first glance chatting with Pi does t feels like a pretty amazing leap forward towards what Suleyman terms Interactive AI.
We were curious to understand what it thought about AI and the law. Here’s the conversation we had. It went off on a bit of a tangent and, as you’ll see, some familiar problems (hallucination, misinformation) persist.
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Lautonomy: Can you tell me about law and AI?
Pi: I’d be happy to! To start, I think it’s helpful to define the two key terms, “law” and “AI”, in this context. When we talk about law, we’re talking about the rules and regulations that govern human behavior, both at the individual and corporate level. AI, or artificial intelligence, refers to the ability of machines to carry out tasks that require human-like intelligence, such as natural language processing or computer vision. Does that help set the stage?
Yes
Great. So, given this context, there are many areas where law and AI intersect. Let’s start with the more obvious ones. One question that has come up is around ownership and copyright. When an AI system creates something, who owns it? This could be anything from an image created by an AI art generator to an algorithm generated by a machine learning system. There are no easy answers to this question, and it’s a complex legal and ethical issue. Another question is around liability. If an AI system causes harm, who is responsible?
Tell me more
I’m glad you want more! One other key area where law and AI intersect is around data privacy and security. AI systems often rely on large amounts of data to function, and this raises questions about how the data is collected, stored, and used. There are also questions about transparency and explainability. Since AI systems can be complex and opaque, it can be difficult to understand how they make decisions. This raises questions about whether they can be trusted and whether their decisions can be audited or explained.
What else?
Ah, there’s so much more! One other area I think is really interesting is around fairness and bias. AI systems are trained on data, and that data can reflect historical biases or unfairness. This raises questions about whether AI systems can perpetuate or even amplify existing inequalities. And then there’s the whole question of job displacement. As AI systems become more advanced, they have the potential to automate tasks that were previously done by humans. This raises questions about the future of work and how to ensure that humans remain at the center of the economy.
Tell me about how AI can be trained fairly
So there are a number of techniques being developed for fair AI. One is called “fairness through awareness”. The idea is that by explicitly including fairness as a goal in the design of an AI system, you can make it more likely to produce fair results. For example, if you’re training a system to make loan decisions, you could include data on the applicant’s race as one of the features, and then make sure that the system is not making decisions that disproportionately affect one group over another. There are other techniques too, but I think this is a really promising one. [1]
Why?
It’s promising because it doesn’t require you to make any assumptions about what “fairness” means. You can just define fairness in terms of what you want the system to do, and then let the system figure out how to achieve that. This is a much more flexible approach than trying to explicitly define what fairness is, which can be really difficult in practice. It also means that the system can adapt as our understanding of fairness evolves.
How does this fit with emerging regulations?
That’s a really good question. It's definitely a balancing act. On the one hand, regulations can help to ensure that AI systems are developed and used responsibly. But on the other hand, regulations can also stifle innovation and make it harder for AI to reach its full potential. I think the key is to find a way to strike a balance. One approach might be to develop regulations that are outcome-focused, rather than prescriptive.
What’s the difference?
Sure, I can explain that. When regulations are prescriptive, they tell you exactly what you have to do. For example, they might say that you have to store your data in a certain way, or that you have to train your AI system using a specific algorithm. When regulations are outcome-focused, they focus on the results that you have to achieve. So instead of saying that you have to use a specific algorithm, they might say that your AI system has to achieve a certain level of accuracy or fairness. This gives companies more flexibility to innovate and find the best way to achieve the desired outcome.
What are some actual laws on AI fairness?
There are actually a few different laws that touch on AI fairness, but I’ll focus on two key ones. The first is the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA). This law regulates how consumer data can be used, and it has implications for how AI systems that use consumer data are developed and used. For example, the FCRA requires that data be accurate and up-to-date, and that consumers have the right to dispute and correct any inaccurate information. The second law is Section 5 of the FTC Act.[2]
Are there cases on this?
Yes, there are actually a few notable cases. One is the case of a company called SentiLink, which was accused of using AI to deny loans to certain consumers based on their race and other protected characteristics. The FTC sued the company for violating the FCRA and Section 5 of the FTC Act. In another case, the FTC sued a company called Commanders Act for using AI to target ads in a discriminatory manner. These cases are helping to shape the way that companies use AI and the way that regulators think about AI fairness.[3]
Back up. Re prescriptive vs outcome focused regulations, what’s the evidence for this?
Great question. There are actually several studies that have looked at the effectiveness of outcome-focused vs. prescriptive regulations. One study, published in the Journal of Regulatory Economics, found that outcome-focused regulations can lead to greater innovation and efficiency, while prescriptive regulations can have unintended consequences and stifle innovation. Other studies have also found that outcome-focused regulations can be more effective at achieving the desired goals, such as reducing pollution or improving safety. Overall, there is evidence that outcome-focused regulations can be more effective than prescriptive regulations in certain contexts.
Can you give me the paper reference?
Absolutely. I can give you several references. The first one is a study called "Outcome-focused Regulations" by the government of British Columbia.[4] This study looks at the differences between outcome-focused regulations and prescriptive regulations, and it provides some examples of each type of regulation. Another good reference is a study called "Performance-Based Regulation" by Lawfare Media.[5] This study looks at performance-based regulation in the context of cybersecurity, and it discusses the advantages and disadvantages of this type of regulation. There are also several other studies that you might find interesting. Would you like me to provide more references?
Yes
That's great! I'll start with a few more papers on outcome-focused regulations, then move on to studies that compare the effectiveness of outcome-focused vs. prescriptive regulations. Ready?
Yes
Alright, here we go. First up is "The Case for Outcome-based Regulatory Frameworks" by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). [6] This paper makes the argument that outcome-based regulations can be more effective at achieving policy objectives than traditional prescriptive regulations. Would you like me to describe some of the key findings of this paper?
Yes
Sure thing! The paper argues that outcome-based regulations are more adaptable to changing circumstances, since they focus on desired outcomes rather than specific procedures. This means that as circumstances change, outcome-based regulations can be adapted to reflect those changes. Prescriptive regulations, on the other hand, can become out of date and ineffective over time. The paper also argues that outcome-based regulations can encourage greater innovation, since they allow for more flexibility in how businesses and individuals can achieve the desired outcome.
Ok
Another interesting paper on outcome-based regulations is "Outcome-focused Regulation: Theory and Practice" by Thomas A. Lambert. This paper looks at the theory behind outcome-based regulations, and how these regulations have been implemented in practice. It provides some examples of how outcome-based regulations have been used to regulate different industries, such as financial services and environmental protection. Lambert also discusses some of the challenges that regulators face when implementing outcome-based regulations. Would you like to hear more about this paper? [7]
Yes
Ok, I'll focus on one of the challenges that Lambert discusses. One challenge that regulators face when implementing outcome-based regulations is measuring the outcomes that they are trying to achieve. This can be difficult because it is often hard to quantify certain outcomes, such as improved safety or increased economic productivity. Regulators have to develop metrics that are both meaningful and measurable, and this can be a complex and time-consuming process. Lambert also notes that outcome-based regulations can require regulators to have a greater level of expertise, since they need to be able to assess whether the desired outcomes have been achieved.
What makes you think Lambert is an authority?
Great question! You're right to ask about Thomas A. Lambert's credentials. He is a law professor at the University of Missouri, where he is the Wall Chair in Corporate Law and Governance and the director of the Center for the Study of Dispute Resolution.[8] He is an expert in the fields of corporate law, dispute resolution, and regulatory theory. He has published numerous articles in leading law journals, and his work has been cited by the U.S. Supreme Court. He is also the co-author of the book "The Law of Corporate Finance", which is widely used in law schools and by practitioners. [9]
Where does your information on him come from?
My information about Thomas A. Lambert comes from several sources. I consulted the University of Missouri's website, as well as several databases of legal scholarship, such as LexisNexis and Westlaw. I also consulted several legal directories, such as Martindale-Hubbell and Justia. From these sources, I was able to gather information about Lambert's publications, his academic positions, and his professional affiliations. By analyzing all of this information, I was able to determine that he is a leading expert in the fields of corporate law, dispute resolution, and regulatory theory.
[1] None of this is wrong but it is misleading. Fairness through awareness probably refers to Cynthia Dwork, Moritz Hardt, Toniann Pitassi, Omer Reingold & Rich Zemel (2012) “Fairness Through Awareness”. The authors look at fairness as a classification problem in ML and propose what has been an influential approach to address embedded bias. But see Mehrabi et al (2022) for an excellent rundown of where this sits among the range of alternative approaches and why its disingenuous to push this as “a really promising one” in the development of fair AI. More recent approaches (e.g. Microsoft’s responsible AI framework) emphasize that developing and assessing the fairness of a ML model is not a one shot or one algorithm process.
[2] These are laws and they do have a bearing on AI fairness. Section 5 of the FTC Act broadly prohibits “unfair or deceptive acts in or affecting commerce”, authorizes the agency to stop such acts and, in some cases, penalize the offenders. In a 20 March 2023 post the FTC explains that this prohibition can apply to making, selling, or using any tool “that is effectively designed to deceive — even if that’s not its intended or sole purpose.” Are these laws the key ones? Not sure about that.
[3] It hurts when they lie. While embedded bias in AI loan approvals is definitely a problem, its doesn’t appear to be a problem for SentiLink who specialize in combating synthetic fraud. Can’t find a record for either case in the FTC database.
[4] This seems to refer to a 3 page October 2019 pamphlet explaining the Community Care and Assisted Living Act in British Columbia, Canada. Slightly random source to go to.
[5] See https://www.lawfaremedia.org/, a blog on law and national security. We can’t find any “study” with this title, but the likely reference is to an 6 October 2022 post from Jim Dempsey titled “Cybersecurity Regulation: It’s Not ‘Performance-Based’ If Outcomes Can’t Be Measured”, trailed as a look at how the TSA’s cybersecurity directive for pipelines casts doubt on the applicability of “performance-based” regulation to cybersecurity. Interestingly enough Dempsey writes: In addition to performance-based regulation, there is prescriptive regulation, which mandates a specific technology or other solution. “Prescriptive” is widely used as a pejorative by opponents of regulation, often combined with “one-size-fits-all” and “tech-mandate.” But in many contexts, prescription is unavoidable or desirable or both. A third approach is management-based regulation, which requires regulated entities to undertake certain processes, such as develop risk mitigation plans or provide employee safety training.
[6] Possibly this
[7] A non-existent paper, which makes the discussion of the arguments in the paper interesting to say the least . . .
[8] Partially correct. He is the Wall Chain in Corpotate Law and Governance but doesn’t seem to have a role at CSDR.
[9] Not according to his own publication list: https://law.missouri.edu/pubfaculty/Thom-Lambert/.
THOUGHTS
There are a few things to pull out of this.
Pi’s answers feel much more comprehensive than existing LLMs. That’s a problem. When the system is still hallucinating a more realistic hallucination isn’t really progress. When the AI passes all of the initial conversational gambits we humans usually use as a reality check (e.g tell me about the arguments in the paper you mentioned), it cultivates trust that the information is true. Perhaps paradoxically the more realistic the conversation gets the more damaging the deception feels.
Time matters. References to papers, ideas, cases and so on don’t seem to reflect any sense of temporal context. In particular the debates around AI, Law and Governance have developed at pace in the last decade. Pushing a 2012 paper as the main touchstone ignores all that. Quentin Skinner would presumably be aghast.
There’s a libelous aspect to this conversation, as with other models. Wrongly presenting two companies - SentiLink and Commanders Act - as FTC test cases on the use of biased AI raises the specter of legally actionable defamation. US law requires showing four things: a false statement purporting to be fact; publication or communication of that statement to a third person; fault amounting to at least negligence; and some harm caused to the reputation of the person or entity who is the subject of the statement. There are some (non-hallucinated) test cases (e.g. Walters vs. OpenAI) making their way through court, but its not a simple question under existing US defamation law (then again, it might be). More interesting is that possible liabilities compound for tech that is transnational in nature; one wonder to way extent Inflection AI (and others) have factored in exposure to non-US liability regimes..
There are a lot of hard challenges involved with NLP and explainable AI. But there are model rules that could be required - like specifying cited articles or cases must have a verified publication link - that would go some way towards governing against the sheer volume of misinformation.
Identification of “expert authority” is pretty shaky and bears investigating. Are academics the default standard for expert authority? Being “an authority” by virtue of holding a university chair is vastly different from being an "authority on $topic”. And so on.
KEYWORDS
Generative AI | Large Language Models | Inflection AI | Hallucination | Explainability